Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Little Yoho.
Start and finish early to enjoy the good travel and skiing conditions!
Clouds may help keep things cool, but higher freezing levels and any solar radiation will increase the likelihood of avalanches as the day progresses on Tuesday.
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
Some small wet loose avalanches out of steep solar terrain on Monday afternoon.
On Saturday, skiers in the Ferris Glacier area remote-triggered a wind slab 60 cm deep on NE alpine terrain at ~2750 m.
On Friday, skiers remotely triggered a wind slab at ~2850 m on St. Nicholas size 2.5 that stepped down to deeper layers in a rocky area, and occurred on steep, unsupported ENE facing terrain.
Snowpack Summary
Crusts on solar aspects to ridgetop, with crusts on all aspects at treeline and below. 20-40 cm of dry snow on north-facing alpine slopes with some wind slabs in alpine lee areas.
A stiff midpack sits over a weaker layer of Jan facets in some places, but this is mainly a concern in thin snowpack areas. On all but high north aspects, crusts in the upper snowpack overlay this midpack slab. If these crusts are thick, and remain frozen, they provide good strength over the weakness.
Weather Summary
Mostly clear Monday night. Freezing levels stay fairly high, around 2000 m. Treeline temperatures down to -5°C with moderate W winds in the alpine.
Becoming a mix of sun and cloud on Tuesday morning with freezing levels going back up to ~2400 m. Light flurries begin later in the afternoon. Moderate W winds in the alpine through the day. Treeline temperatures up to +2°C.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Back off slopes as the surface becomes moist or wet with rising temperatures.
- Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
Avalanche Problems
Wind Slabs
Moderate to strong SW-NW winds in the last several days combined with recent snow built wind slabs in lee high alpine features and contributed to fresh cornice development. Watch for these wind slabs in steep loaded terrain at higher elevations.
Aspects: North, North East, East, North West.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 2
Loose Wet
With higher freezing levels on Tuesday and less of freeze overnight, surface crusts may start to break down earlier. This could result in an increased hazard and wet loose avalanches later in the day. Monitor temperatures and crusts carefully and plan to be out of steep terrain early in the day.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 2
Persistent Slabs
A 90-150 cm slab sits on the Jan 30 facet layer. On all but high north aspects, recent sun crusts and the March 27 rain crust cap this slab, providing good security. Continue to use caution in thinner snowpack, high alpine areas, or when these crusts are weak or breaking down with daytime heat.
Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 2 - 3