Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 15th, 2016 3:14PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Alberta Parks matt.mueller, Alberta Parks

Variable. We seem to experience a different snowpack in each drainage we travel to. Be curious as you travel and look for the problems. Ski quality is also variable. Sheltered areas at treeline can have good skiing.

Summary

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

Cold. Yes...its still going to be cold. Overnight alpine temps will once again go down to -29. Tomorrow will be similar to today with mostly clear skies. Of course, this means there will be no new snow. No surprise there either. The "high" alpine temperature will be about -24 with winds from the northwest at 20 km/hr. Windchill values will be very, very low. Prepare accordingly.

Avalanche Summary

Nothing new today.

Snowpack Summary

Forecasters went to Burstall Pass for today's snowpack assessment. Interestingly, we found a snowpack that is quite different than other areas. Below treeline is still horrendously bad skiing with only enough snow to barely cover the fallen trees and rocks. To top if off, this snow is facetted/rotten enough now to offer no cushioning when the inevitable ski tip snag sends the pilot flying. Treeline has a deeper (90cm) snowpack that is still supportive in most areas. The Nov 12 crust is down 50-60cm and was unreactive in stability tests. As the terrain opens up, some windslabs are encountered.The Alpine. This is where we start to have a winter snowpack. The depth increases significantly and the windslab problems are amplified. The slabs are more prevalent in terms of depth and distribution, but they seem to be more facetted and less of a concern than the more southern forecast areas. The Nov 12 crust starts to disappear at about 2400m and we're thinking it is gone by 2550m. Keep in mind, it may be a thin layer of facets that is hard to feel probing. Dig to confirm before jumping on a slope for the first time.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Today's trip to Burstall Pass was a good indicator for how variable it is out there. The wind slabs were thin, and isolated. In contrast, yesterday's trip saw us avoiding steep slopes at treeline in favor of heavily treed areas.
Use caution on open slopes and convex rolls Caution around convexities or areas with a thin or variable snowpack.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
Similar to the windslab issue, the crust is in various states of decay depending on where you are. Dig at an appropriate aspect/elevation (with respect to ski line) and inspect it before committing. It tends to fade away at about 2400-2500m.
Use caution on open slopes and convex rolls Evaluate unsupported slopes critically.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Dec 16th, 2016 2:00PM

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