Avalanche Forecast
Regions: South Coast.
Confidence
Moderate - Due to the number of field observations
Weather Forecast
A fairly benign weather pattern through the forecast period.Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with some sunny periods and a chance of flurries. An alpine high temperature of -8 with generally light westerly winds and some strong gusts.Thursday: Mostly sunny with an alpine high temperature of -5. Ridgetop winds light to moderate from the northeast.Friday: Cloudy with new snow 5-15 cm. Alpine temperatures near -3 and ridgetop winds moderate with strong gusts from the southwest.
Avalanche Summary
Dry loose avalanches up to size 1 were reactive to skier traffic on Monday.
Snowpack Summary
In exposed terrain, strong north winds have scoured north facing slopes and loaded south facing slopes. In sheltered terrain, cold weather is preserving 30-50 cm of low density snow. A hard rain crust that extends into alpine terrain is buried about 40 cm beneath the recent storm snow. Reports suggest the snow has a poor bond to the crust with test results showing sudden planar characteristics. This means there's a potential for slab avalanches on any steep or convex terrain feature. Monitor the bond of the snow to this crust closely. There are no significant layers of concern below the crust.
Avalanche Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood: Possible - Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 2
Cornices
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 1 - 2