Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Apr 11th, 2015 8:28AM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs, Persistent Slabs and Cornices.

Avalanche Canada bcorrigan, Avalanche Canada

The hazard may go higher than forecast if precipitation amounts are greater than expected. If you have field observations to share here, we'd love to hear from you.

Summary

Confidence

Fair - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Weather Forecast

The cold front has passed through the area leaving cool unsettled conditions.  Expect convective showers over the next few days.SUNDAY:  A cool unstable air mass will continue to bring precipitation to the region overnight Saturday and Sunday. 10 to 15cm of precipitation, freezing level around 110 m and winds moderate to strong from the South West.MONDAY:  Cloudy with flurries and/or rain.  Freezing level will rise to 1600m and moderate to strong winds from the South West.TUESDAY:  A brief break in the weather pattern. Cloudy with sunny periods, freezing level around 1200m, winds light to moderate from the South West.

Avalanche Summary

No reports of avalanche activity from yesterday.  This is most likely as a result of few field observations. We expect wind slab activity with new loading and strong winds.  Solar aspect may become active again when the sun come out.

Snowpack Summary

20 to 30cm of storm snow now rests on a variety of crusts and old surfaces including surface hoar and facets that formed in sheltered locations during the recent clear weather. Moderate to strong south west winds are redistributing the storm snow into wind slabs on the lee sides of ridge tops. A facet/crust layer that was buried in mid-March is now approximately 50-100 cm down.  This remains a concern in the region because of it's potential for very large avalanches. Cornices are now large and mature and may collapse with increased loading, possibly triggering the deeply buried weak layer.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Recent storm snow has been blown onto lee slopes at treeline and above.  These soft slabs may be very reactive to skier or rider traffic.
Assess start zones carefully and use safe travel techniques.>Highmark or enter your line well below ridge crests to avoid wind loaded pillows.>Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>Avoid freshly wind loaded features.>Avoid slopes with glide cracks.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 4

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
This slab has not been active recently, and may soon disappear as a problem, but for the time being it's worth keeping in mind.
Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.>Avoid convexities or areas with a thin or variable snowpack.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

2 - 5

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices
New snow loading and warming temperatures may trigger cornice failures, definitely something to be aware of.
Give cornices a wide berth when travelling on or below ridges.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 4

Valid until: Apr 12th, 2015 2:00PM