Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 19th, 2012 10:09AM

The alpine rating is high, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada jfloyer, Avalanche Canada

Significant amounts of new snow and warming will set up very dangerous avalanche conditions.

Summary

Confidence

Good - -1

Weather Forecast

Heavy precipitation is expected to start on Friday afternoon. The freezing level is expected to remain at valley bottom in this region, although temperatures will climb to around -5C. Overnight, accumulations will be heavy and strong southwesterly winds will blow. Around 20-30 cm dense new snow is expected to be on the ground by Saturday morning. On Saturday, further heavy snowfall is anticipated, as unstable, convective air moves in behind the storm. Temperatures will cool slightly and strong SW winds will continue to blow. On Sunday, another punchy winter storm system will bring further heavy snowfall.

Avalanche Summary

Only loose snow activity was observed on Thursday. I anticipate a significant avalanche cycle will occur with heavy amounts of dense new snow expected to fall on existing cold, low density snow.

Snowpack Summary

30-80 cm very low density snow has accumulated over the last few days. The Coquihalla and areas around Hope have seen the highest amounts. Winds recently picked up into moderate range from the southwest - just enough to create some soft slabs on lee slopes in exposed areas. Below the storm snow lies a rain crust at lower elevations (up to around 1800 m) and old wind slabs in exposed areas at higher elevations. Weak layers lower in the snowpack have generally ceased to be of concern, except perhaps in thin rocky areas.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
Significant accumulations of denser new snow are expected to fall on the existing cold, low density snow surface. This will set up highly unstable snowpack conditions.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Very Likely

Expected Size

2 - 6

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Shifting winds have started to redistribute the low density snow into soft slabs on lee features in exposed terrain.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 4

Valid until: Jan 21st, 2012 8:00AM