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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 13th, 2019–Feb 16th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Waterton Lakes.

Storm Slabs are reactive and will increase the load on Deep Persistent Slabs.

Weather Forecast

Tonight: clear skies. -25. Light SW wind Thursday: Sun with clouds increasing in the afternoon. Isolated flurries.  Light SW wind,. Alpine high -7.Friday: Flurries. 5cm snow. Light SW gusting moderate. 

Snowpack Summary

30-45cm of new storm snow in the past 24h. This new snow sits over a variety of wind affected surfaces including pockets of Windslab near ridgetop. We expect the storm snow to be reactive to human traffic through the weekend. The Midpack is strong in deep snowpack areas but this increase in loading will stress the weak, facetted basal snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

Siz 1-1.5 Natural Avalanche activity reported from Castle Mt Ski Resort. Limited observations in Waterton.

Confidence

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.