Avalanche forecast

Ogden

Issued Dec 9, 2024valid to Dec 10, 2024Utah Avalanche Center

Avalanche danger

Alpine
Treeline
Below treeline

Out of date — this forecast expired 2 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

The avalanche danger is LOW. With a trace of new snowfall and multiple days of elevated wind speeds, carefully evaluate snow and terrain in areas where wind-transported snow could accumulate, potentially forming wind slabs near ridgelines that may fail on a buried layer of facets. Avoid thinner snowpack areas, where buried obstacles could lurk just beneath the surface.

Avalanche problems

Persistent Slabs
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alpine
Treeline
Below treeline
Likelihood
Unlikely
Size
2
The persistent weak layer (PWL) dominating much of the snowpack on north-facing slopes continues to lose strength. As new snow or wind arrives, this weak structure will struggle to support additional weight and may begin to collapse. Take note of which slopes, aspects, and elevations are or are not holding snow, so you’ll know which areas to avoid during the next storm.

Weak snow is also forming on the surface and you can learn more about surface hoar HERE. The question is whether or not the warmer temperatures and wind will destroy this surface weakness before it snows?

Recent Activity

There has been no recent avalanche activity. That being said, great observations continue to trickle in. Check out all recent observations HERE.

Snow and Weather

This morning, skies are partly cloudy, and for the first time in about a week, there is no temperature inversion. Trailhead temperatures range from the mid-teens to low 20s, while ridgetop temperatures are in the single digits. As of 5AM there has been no measurable snowfall in some places and a trace amount in others. Winds at the mid-elevation ridgelines are blowing from the west at 20 mph, gusting up to 30 mph.

Today, a weak Pacific Northwest storm will bring scattered snow showers to Utah, resulting in minimal accumulations. Snow may linger into the late afternoon or evening before high-pressure returns. Expect increasing clouds, with temperatures in the upper teens to low 20s. Winds at the mid-elevation ridgelines will be out of the northwest at 15 mph, gusting to 20 mph, and west-northwest at 30 mph, gusting to 35 mph, at the upper elevation ridgelines. Snowfall totals will range from a trace to up to 2 inches by evening, with water equivalents of 0.05" to 0.20".

A weak ridge brings dry conditions and above-average temperatures Wednesday, with some valley haze likely but short-lived. A weak storm Thursday into Friday may produce light snow in northern Utah’s higher elevations and help clear the air, though moisture is limited. Another system late Saturday into Sunday could bring slightly more mountain snow, but significant precipitation remains unlikely. Snow depths across the forecast region range from 12" to 20", with many south- and west-facing slopes at lower elevations now bare, revealing dirt and wildflowers. JB's photo from Thurston Peak shows the snow coverage along the ridgelines.

Additional Info

While you're waiting for more snow, dive deeper into avalanche philosophy with Drew Hardesty HERE and HERE.

General Announcements

CLICK HERE FOR MORE GENERAL INFO AND FAQ

This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.

Observations and Avalanches

Backcountry Emergency Procedures