Avalanche forecast

Turnagain Pass and Girdwood

Chugach National Forest Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Fri
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
No rating
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Highlights

Yesterday's storm produced more wind than snow and the wind is still blowing. This makes wind slab avalanches above 2,500' our primary concern.  We recommend a cautious approach in the alpine today as there are good chances a human could trigger one of these slides that could be 1 to 3' thick. Be wary of stiff snow over softer snow and a shooting crack is a clear sign of unstable snow. Glide avalanches are still a concern. Avoid traveling underneath glide cracks and steer clear of runout zones when possible.

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Special Announcements

Looking to dust off your rescue skills? Hatcher Pass Avalanche Center is hosting a free avalanche rescue workshop next Saturday, December 14 at the Hatcher Pass – Fishhook (Marmot) Lot. Visit hpavalanche.org for more info. 

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–2

    A wind slab is the most likely problem that could get us into trouble in the alpine today. The wind is still blowing and 2 to 5" of new snow could fall today, which is likely to create fresh wind slabs. These "pillows" of windblown snow are typically found below ridgelines and in gullies. A small test slope is a good way to see how the newly deposited snow is bonding to the old snow beneath. 

    These slabs could have different character since the wind has been blowing strong for several days with all of the new snow from the last few storms. There could be touchy fresh wind slabs 1' deep or less or there could be a more stubborn wind slab that could be up to 3' deep from older blowing snow. There is a smaller chance of triggering one of these stubborn and larger wind slabs, but these are the ones that might let you get way out onto the slope before releasing above you.

    Wet loose: With temperatures cooling off, all the wet snow in the mid elevations should be freezing and locking up into a crust, which makes wet avalanches unlikely. If you find yourself in a place with wet snow there could be a chance you could trigger a wet loose avalanche. These avalanches can be difficult to escape so watch for trees, cliffs, or gullies that you might get carried into if you were to get caught. 

    Cornice Fall: With all this wind and new snow fresh cornices have likely formed in many places. Try to get a look at where cornices are on the approach and give them a wide margin as they can break back further than we expect. Especially as they firm up.

    Rough guess at snowfall storm totals above 2,500' (7pm Tuesday to 6am Thursday):

    Girdwood Valley:  18"Portage Valley:  20 to 40"Turnagain Pass:  8"Summit lake:  1" Seward/Lost Lake:  6 to 10" close to the coast in the upper elevations

     

    (12/10/2024)

    This photo of a wind blasted CFR ridge was taken on Tuesday just before the most recent storm arrived. 

    Photo: Andrew Schauer

  • Glide Cracks

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    2–3

    Cooling temperatures doesn't necessarily mean the glide activity will slow down. These avalanches are unpredictable, not human triggered, and could release at any time. We may sound like a broken record, but we recommend staying out from underneath glide cracks or "brown frowns" and their runout zones. These avalanches take the entire seasons snowpack to the ground and it would be difficult to survive being caught.

    (12/10/2024) Photo: Daniel Krueger

    The mountains of our zones are riddled with glide cracks that have not yet released. Pictured here is the west face of Sunburst.

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