Avalanche forecast

East Slopes North

Northwest Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Sun
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
3 · Considerable
Below
3 · Considerable
Out of date — this forecast expired 3 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Dangerous avalanche conditions will be driven by moderate to heavy snow on Friday night and increasing wind on Saturday. It will be easy to trigger avalanches on a variety of slopes, but the most dangerous areas will be where the wind forms deeper drifts just below wind-exposed ridges. You can minimize your risk by sticking to slopes under 35 degrees and wind-sheltered terrain.

Avalanche problems

  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–2

    The easiest way to avoid avalanches altogether is to stick to slopes under 35 degrees. If venturing near avalanche terrain, be prepared to choose terrain carefully and asses how easily the snow slides before committing to larger slopes. Avoid the most dangerous areas by staying off of wind-loaded leeward sides of ridges and wind-exposed terrain features.

    You may be able to trigger avalanches at the recently buried interface of new and old snow on many steep slopes. These avalanches will range in size and reactivity depending on where you travel. The most dangerous avalanches will be at upper elevations, where they could be large due to the wind drifting stiff slabs of snow on leeward slopes. Near and west of Washington Pass, you may find reactive storm slab avalanches 1-2 feet deep, even in wind-sheltered terrain. Further east and at lower elevations, triggering slides may still be easy, but they may be smaller, looser, and less cohesive.  Watch for clues of the danger like natural avalanches, test slopes where the new snow slides easily, and blowing snow (see photo below).

    (12/1/2023)

    A small storm slab avalanche in an adjacent zone, 6-8" deep. On Friday, the new/old interface was very reactive. Rock Mtn

    Photo: Matt Primomo

Avalanche Discussion

 Expect moderate to heavy snow on Friday night to slow Saturday morning. During the day, increasing wind will continue to form slabs.  On Thursday,  our first snow in over a week buried various weak layers like facets, surface hoar, and slick crusts. Expect avalanches to run on this interface. It may plague us for some time to come. Warm temperatures on Sunday could set off another round of avalanches. The coming week will bring intense storms and, at times, even warmer temperatures.

It's still early season, and our confidence in the avalanche forecast is low. Approach mountain travel with caution and be ready to make your own assessments. Snow cover is still shallow in many places. Hitting buried rocks, stumps, and creeks may be your most significant hazard of the day.

Anyone can add to the forecast. Let us know what you see in the mountains by submitting an observation.

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