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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 14th, 2018–Mar 15th, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Northwest Inland.

Snow is forecasted in the east of the region; treat the hazard as higher if you find substantial snowfall.  Expect wind slabs in immediate lee and cross-loaded features. The best riding will be in areas sheltered from recent wind and warming effects.

Confidence

Moderate - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Weather Forecast

THURSDAY:  Cloudy with variable snowfall amounts, accumulation from 2 cm in the west to 20 cm in the central and eastern parts of the region possible, moderate northwesterly winds, alpine temperature -4 C, freezing level 900 m.FRIDAY:  Mix of sun and cloud, light northeasterly winds, alpine temperature -2 C, freezing level 1400 m.SATURDAY: Partly cloudy, light northeasterly winds, alpine temperature -1 C, freezing level 1500 m.

Avalanche Summary

Widespread loose wet avalanche activity was observed on southern aspects at all elevations on Tuesday.  Some of these were stepping to basal facets in the north of the region where the snowpack is thin.

Snowpack Summary

Recent warm temperatures and rain have produced a melt-freeze crust on most snow surfaces, except for possibly high elevation north.  New snow will fall onto this melt-freeze crust.  Strong easterly to southerly winds have redistributed any previously available soft snow and produced wind slabs in lee and cross-loaded features.  This overlies a sun crust on solar aspects and a surface hoar and sugary facet layer on sheltered, shady aspects.  A surface hoar and crust layer from January is buried around 80 to 140 cm. This layer still has the potential to be triggered from a thin snowpack spot, or with a large trigger like a cornice fall.Sugary facets exist at the bottom of the snowpack in steep, rocky, and shallow snowpack areas.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.