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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 9th, 2014–Jan 10th, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Jasper.

Weather Forecast

A forecast of snow flurries and light winds should do little to change the avalanche hazard in the next 24 hours.

Snowpack Summary

Last weekend's storm snow overlies older wind slabs. In the alpine this newer snow has itself be blown into storm slabs which shear with easy to moderate force. The base of the snowpack is weak and unstable at all elevations. Near treeline the midpack is supportive and untracked powder can be found in wind sheltered locations.

Avalanche Summary

Increased loading with new snow and wind forecast for the weekend will renew avalanche activity at treeline and above. Field team noted the debris of 2 sz 2.5 slab avalanches which had released in the last 24 hours on the basal facets at alpine elevations. Control work with large explosives only produced small slides below treeline today.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Saturday

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.