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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 18th, 2018–Apr 19th, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Good skiing at treeline in sheltered terrain. Avoid those slopes with cornices overhead

Weather Forecast

Freezing temps overnight to the valley bottom. Solar radiation can be expected periodically throughout tomorrow with freezing levels increasing to 2,200m and alpine highs of -3C. Wind will be mostly light and from the SW. Overnight on Thursday the valley bottom temps will remain above freezing allowing for limited overnight recovery on Friday.

Snowpack Summary

Below 1,900m the snowpack is isothermal. Sun or temperature crusts extend to treeline and continued into the alpine on southerly slopes. Persistent slabs can be found on most aspects at treeline and above . These have been most reactive recently on Northerly facing terrain. Soft windslabs have been developing and are up to 40cm deep.

Avalanche Summary

No reports of avalanche today. Increasing freezing levels and direct solar radiation will produce isothermal slides below treeline. Solar input will trigger avalanches into the Alpine from terrain where snow coverage is thin and near rock outcrops on steep south facing slopes. Small sluffs have the potential to trigger deeper instabilities.

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.