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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 3rd, 2015–Apr 4th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Glacier.

Several instabilities still exist in the upper snowpack above treeline. Hazard will rise if forecasted clouds give way to the strong April sun.

Weather Forecast

Sunny skies cloud over by mid-morning with isolated flurries and trace accumulation throughout the day. Freezing levels will rise rapidly and hover around 1700m this afternoon. Ridge winds remain moderate from the SW. Daytime warming and overnight freezing will be the norm for the next several days. A front will bring 10cm snow on Saturday.

Snowpack Summary

Daytime warming and overnight freezes are influencing the snowpack. A10cm surface crust at 1300m this morning will likely brake down by mid-afternoon. Above treeline, 35cm of dry snow overlies 50cm of moist snow. A 6cm wet snow layer down 50cm and several crusts down 40 to 100cm may be triggerable by light loads. Suspect wind slabs near ridges.

Avalanche Summary

No new natural avalanches were observed in Glacier National Park yesterday.

Confidence

Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.