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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 21st, 2016–Mar 22nd, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

Poor overnight freeze below treeline and strong gusty alpine winds have elevated avalanche hazard today.

Weather Forecast

Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries today with precip tapering off by mid morning. Freezing levels are forecasted to reach 1700m today, which thankfully is lower than yesterday but still quite high. Alpine high today of -2 deg & wind should be Southwest 15kph gusting to 40

Snowpack Summary

Poor overnight freeze and new snow to insulate will keep surface snow moist to 2000m. Windslab exists on alpine lee features. Last week's storm snow is well settled with the warm temps & remains unconsolidated on northerly aspects and sits over crusts on solar aspects. The Feb 27 interface is down 70cm and is more sensitive on steep solar aspects.

Avalanche Summary

Over the weekend there was a number of avalanches triggered by cornice fall. Yesterday's warm temps triggered a natural avalanche cycle to sz 2.5, with avalanches leaving moist deposits.  Unfortunately freezing levels won't drop enough to significantly improve avalanche hazard below treeline.

Confidence

Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.