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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 11th, 2023–Feb 12th, 2023

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Northwest Inland, Kispiox, Microwave-Sinclair, Ningunsaw, South Bulkley, South Bulkley, Telkwa.

Avoid wind loaded slopes near ridge crests where triggering avalanches is more likely.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Friday skiers were able to intentionally trigger small wind slabs. Check out the MIN for more details.

On Wednesday, skiers triggered a large, size 2 avalanche near Ningunsaw. The Deep Persistent avalanche was triggered on an east aspect near ridgetop in a thin, rocky start zone and failed on basal facets.

Reports Tuesday documented a very large (size 3.5) natural deep persistent slab avalanche observed in the Babines on a northwest aspect around 1700 m and failing on basal facets 150 cm deep. This speaks to the importance of conservative terrain selection through this period of active weather. Several less surprising small to large (size 1-2.5) naturals were also observed in steep leeward terrain in the same area.

Observations from Monday in the snowier southwestern part of the region show our recent storm snow reacting to ski cutting, which produced numerous small (up to size 1.5) storm slabs on steep slopes at treeline and below with crowns up to 40 cm. Isolated natural releases were also observed in the alpine.

If you are out in the backcountry, please share your observations with the Mountain Information Network!

Snowpack Summary

50 to 80cm of recent storm snow has been redistributed into wind slabs on north and east aspects by ongoing southerly winds. The above mentioned storm snow sits on a crust layer from late January.

The mid and lower snowpack continues to bond and stabilize. A few concerning weak layers can still be found in the top meter of the snowpack including a surface hoar layer from early January and a crust from late December.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Cloudy with around 5 cm of new snow expected. Moderate to strong southwest winds and a low of -1 at 1500m.

Sunday

Stormy with 5 to 10cm of new snow expected. Strong southwest winds and a high of -3 at 1500m.

Monday

A mix of sun and cloud with the possibility of light flurries bringing trace amounts of new snow. Moderate westerly winds and temperatures at 1500m falling throughout the day to -9.

Tuesday

Sunny with no new snow expected. Light westerly winds and a high of -10 at 1500m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Make observations and assess conditions continually as you travel.
  • Watch for signs of instability like whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.
  • Avoid areas with a thin or variable snowpack.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.