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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 21st, 2019–Apr 22nd, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Cariboos.

New snow and strong winds may create small wind slabs that when in motion, step-down to the recent storm snow, resulting in large avalanches.

Confidence

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear / Moderate, southwesterly winds / Alpine low -3 C / Freezing level 2100 m.

MONDAY: Rain/alpine flurries; 5-10 mm. / Strong, southwesterly winds / Alpine high 1 C / Freezing level 2100 m.

TUESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud with isolated alpine flurries; 1-3 mm. / Light, southwesterly winds / Alpine high 1 C / Freezing level 2000 m.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny / Light, westerly winds / Alpine high -2 C / Freezing level 1500 m.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were reported on Saturday.

On Friday, a widespread storm slab natural avalanche cycle to size 3 occurred on all aspects in the alpine. This new snow will need several days to settle and bond to the old snow surface.

Snowpack Summary

10-25 mm of rain soaked the snowpack below treeline. The rain/snow boundary on Friday was around 2000 m. Strong southwesterly winds heavily loaded lee aspects. New snow amounts in the alpine will taper rapidly with elevation and likely equate to around 10-20 cm of moist snow at upper elevations adding to the 15-40 cm recent snow which overlies a crust everywhere except high elevation, north facing terrain where preserved surface hoar (weak, feathery crystals) may be present in isolated locations down 40-60 cm. A similar layer buried in early April is down 50-80 cm. Smaller storm slab avalanches may step down to one of these deeper weak layers.

Below treeline, snow is disappearing rapidly.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.