Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Nov 29th, 2015 8:05AM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Loose Wet, Wind Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada bcorrigan, Avalanche Canada

Warming temperatures may push the danger ratings higher, especially on solar aspects.A big THANK YOU ! to all those posting on the MIN

Summary

Confidence

Fair - Due to the number and quality of field observations

Weather Forecast

A ridge of high pressure continues to dominate the weather pattern over western Canada. Current conditions are not forecast to move out of the area until Tuesday or Wednesday next week. In the meantime, an above-freezing layer (AFL) of air will persist in the region and continue to bring warm temperatures to elevations between 1500 and 3000m. This has resulted in temperatures as high as +7c in some parts of the region. Arctic air pooling in the valley bottoms will keep the temperatures well below freezing until the next storm system flushes out the cold air.

Avalanche Summary

Few reports of avalanche activity from yesterday, but some snowballing and small loose-wet  slides from warm temperatures on steep solar aspects. On north aspects there have been reports of small wind slabs, and loose, dry snow sluffing on steep north facing slopes

Snowpack Summary

The snowpack is extremely variable at this time, with wind scoured North facing slopes at treeline and above. South facing slopes have wind slabs at tree line and above, and may be hiding surface hoar from the previous spell of cold clear weather. Surface facetting has been observed in the region as a result of the recent cold weather and clear skies, and surface hoar up to 9mm in size has been reported in sheltered locations below 1700m. There are a number of surface hoar layers now buried in the snowpack that at present have been unreactive, with the most recent  buried on Nov 24th.  In shallow snowpack areas especially on northern aspects, there are reports of weak facetted layer at the base of the snowpack. With the recent warm temperatures, expect sun crust on all solar aspects above 1500 metres.

Problems

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet
The warm temperatures at upper elevations may significantly warm the snowpack on solar aspects and create a loose wet hazard, Use caution on sun-drenched slopes at this time.
Avoid sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong, especially if snow is moist or wet.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 4

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Northerly winds have formed wind slabs just below ridge tops on south aspects where we don't usually see them.
Avoid slopes with glide cracks.>Use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind loaded snow.>Avoid freshly wind loaded features.>Be cautious as you transition out of wind sheltered terrain.>The new snow will require several days to settle and stabilize.>

Aspects: North, North East, East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 3

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs
Weak-facetted snow at the base of the snowpack may exist on north aspects in shallow areas. An avalanche on this layer could be large and destructive.
Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.>Now is a good time to dig a snow profile (or two) and figure out how the snowpack changes with aspect and elevation.>

Aspects: North, North East, East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Unlikely

Expected Size

2 - 5

Valid until: Nov 30th, 2015 2:00PM

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