Avalanche Forecast

Fair

Friday: Cloudy with light to moderate snowfall 5-15 cm. The freezing level is at valley bottom and ridgetop winds are light to moderate from the west-northwest. Saturday: Mainly cloudy with a chance of flurries. The freezing level could jump to 700 m and moderate gusty west-northwest winds continue. Sunday: Possible sunny breaks and flurries. The freezing level could climb to 1000 m and the upper flow continues to be northwesterly.

Several natural and rider triggered loose-snow avalanches (sluffs) and small wind slabs were reported on Wednesday. There was also a report of a size 3 natural slab avalanche from a southwest-facing alpine slope that ran full path.

5-10 cm of dry new snow covers the previous storm snow and wind slabs in higher exposed terrain. Dense wind slabs are most likely on exposed north through southeast facing slopes. A weak layer of surface hoar, facetted snow, and/or a crust is now down around 40 cm in the south and up to 60 cm further north. This layer has recently been reactive to riders and natural triggers and both cracking and whumpfing have been noted. The late-November interface, which consists of a sun crust on steep south facing slopes and surface hoar in sheltered areas, is buried 60-90cm below the surface and is generally considered to be "stubborn" to trigger. At the base of the snowpack the October crust is lurking in specific terrain, like north-facing alpine slopes with smooth ground cover. Triggering this weakness is unlikely, but if triggered the resulting avalanche would be very large and dangerous.