Avalanche Forecast

Moderate -

Monday night: Mainly clear. Light east winds. Tuesday: Mainly sunny. Light east winds. Alpine high temperatures around -11.Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. Light east winds. Alpine high temperatures around -8.Thursday: Cloudy with scattered flurries bringing around 5 cm of new snow, continuing overnight. Light southwest winds. Alpine high temperatures around -10.

Reports from the past couple of days show a continuation of wind slabs reacting to ski cuts, with a trend toward smaller (size 1) releases. Small (size 1-1.5) loose dry avalanches have also been observed releasing naturally from steeper, sun exposed slopes in recent days.On Wednesday, numerous rider triggered wind slab avalanches up to size 2 were reported primarily on northerly aspects at treeline and above. The largest one was a buried, hard wind slab that was sitting on facets on top of a crust. Reports of human triggered persistent slab avalanches on our January weak layers have recently been on the decline, suggesting these layers have evolved into a lower likelihood avalanche problem, but one that still requires a measure of discipline to manage effectively.

Weeks of mainly dry, windy, and cold weather have transformed the snowpack at upper elevations into a mix of wind-affected surfaces and wind slabs of varying ages on all aspects. These wind slabs have shown prolonged reactivity because of the faceted (weak, sugary snow) they overlie. There are a couple of prominent weak layers in the upper snowpack that were buried in mid and late January. These can be found approximately 40-80 cm deep. Both layers consist of surface hoar (weak, feathery crystals) and may be associated with a crust on steep, south facing slopes. These weak layers have been most reactive at lower elevations, and especially below treeline.The lower snowpack is generally considered to be strong, except for shallow, rocky areas where the cold temperatures continue to facet (weaken) the snowpack.