Avalanche Forecast
Regions: Blue River, Clemina, Dogtooth, Esplanade, McBride, North Monashee, North Selkirk, Premier, West Purcell.
A complex snowpack with several avalanche problems is best managed through conservative terrain choices. Avoid overhead hazard.
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
Numerous human-triggered persistent slab avalanches have been reported up to size 2 (large) at alpine and treeline elevations. Several were remotely triggered.
Wind slabs have been reactive naturally and to human triggers, up to size 2.5 on north to east aspects in the alpine.
Large avalanches on deep weak layers throughout the region include size 3 naturals on north aspects in the northern Selkirks and Cariboos and artificially triggered size 2-3.5 in the Purcells.
Snowpack Summary
15 to 30 cm of recent snow sits on facets formed during the mid January cold snap. At upper elevations, the recent snow has been redistributed by wind.
The mid pack contains a few layers of concern. A surface hoar/facet/crust layer formed in early January is now buried 60 to 80 cm deep and has produced recent avalanches.
Another surface hoar layer that was buried in early December is now 130+ cm deep. This layer has been of most concern above 2000 m where a robust crust doesn't exist above it, or in shallow snowpack areas.
The lower snowpack is characterized by weak basal facets in many areas. Avalanches on this layer have been large and destructive.
Weather Summary
Friday night
Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries bringing a trace. South alpine wind 10-25 km/h. Treeline temperature -3 °C.
Saturday
Mostly cloudy with scattered flurries brining a trace. Southwest alpine wind 10-20 km/h. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level 1600 m.
Sunday
Mostly cloudy with wet flurries brining up to 5 mm of mixed precipitation. Southwest alpine wind 15-30 km/h. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level 2000 m.
Monday
A mix of sun and cloud with scattered showers. Southwest alpine wind 10-20 km/h. Treeline temperature +2 °C. Freezing level 2700 m.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Make conservative terrain choices and avoid overhead hazard.
- Be careful with wind slabs, especially in steep, unsupported and/or convex terrain features.
- Avoid convexities, steep unsupported terrain and rocky outcroppings.
Avalanche Problems
Wind Slabs
Recent snow sits poorly bonded over a weak layer of facets. It has been most reactive in wind-loaded features such as below ridge crests and roll-overs.
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Likely
Expected Size: 1 - 2.5
Persistent Slabs
Two weak layers of surface hoar and/or facets are buried 60-80 cm and 130+ cm deep, respectively.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood: Possible
Expected Size: 2 - 3.5
Deep Persistent Slabs
Basal facets remain a concern in steep, rocky alpine features with thin-to-thick snowpack transitions.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible
Expected Size: 2 - 3.5