Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 1st, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada isnowsell, Avalanche Canada

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Despite a decrease in avalanche hazard, the presence of multiple weak layers deep within the snowpack remains a cause for concern.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

A large (size 3), naturally triggered deep persistent slab avalanche in alpine terrain was reported Saturday. It occurred just north of Glacier National Park.

Have a look at this blog post that highlights several recent, similar large avalanches occurring on layers deep within the snowpack.

Snowpack Summary

The upper snowpack is generally well-settled and consolidated with no significant layers of concern.

A layer of surface hoar down roughly 50 to 90 cm remains problematic despite many recent signs of reactivity. A hard crust above this layer likely protects it from human-triggering at lower elevations.

Weak basal facets characterize the bottom of the snowpack.

Weather Summary

Monday night

Mostly cloudy with no precipitation, southwest alpine winds 10 to 20 km/h, treeline temperature - 7 °C.

Tuesday

Mostly cloudy with no precipitation, south alpine winds 10 to 20 km/h, treeline temperature -7 °C.

Wednesday

Cloudy with trace snow amounts, south alpine winds 10 to 20 km/h, treeline temperature -6 °C.

Thursday

Cloudy with trace snow amounts, southwest alpine winds 10 to 30 km/h, treeline temperature -6 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid steep, rocky, and wind effected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.
  • Keep in mind that human triggering potential persists as natural avalanching tapers off.
  • Uncertainty is best managed through conservative terrain choices at this time.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

A layer of surface hoar is down 50 to 90 cm; an ideal depth for large, human-triggered avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

With basal facets, shallow snowpack areas are the most likely trigger points.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely

Expected Size

2 - 3.5

Valid until: Jan 2nd, 2024 4:00PM