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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 24th, 2013–Dec 25th, 2013
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Northwest Inland.

Confidence

Poor - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Weather Forecast

Synopsis: Inland areas can expect light snow accumulations and rain over the christmas period.Tonight and Wednesday: Isolated flurries. Freezing levels: rising to 1700m. Ridge winds: strong westerly.Thursday: Wet flurries and rain. Freezing levels: 1900m. Ridge winds: moderate westerlyFriday: Clearing. Freezing levels: drop to 1000m. Ridge winds: moderate south-westerlySpecial Notice: Our radar has just picked-up what appears to be a flying sleigh. Our forecasters believe the sleigh belongs to Santa as it is being pulled by at least 8 reindeer. The sleigh is now in the far north of the province at the 2000m elevation and is currently headed south. More information will be posted as it becomes available.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche have been reported.

Snowpack Summary

There is significant variation in snow depths across the region. In the Smithers area the ski hill is reporting an 111 cm base with the Ashman trailer is around the same. Treeline depths vary between 100 - 200 cm.The region picked up 10 - 40 cm of new snow in last weekend's storm. The upper pack is likely to be slightly "upside down" as the new snow is sitting on top of 10 to 30 cm of cold snow from earlier in the week. This snow is rests upon a crust that extend up to treeline and possibly beyond. This interfaces has been popping under easy loads in snowpack tests.We don't have great wind stations in the region, but the coast saw a lot of strong wind during the last storm & I suspect this region was similarly hammered, forming windslabs in the alpine and at treeline.Deeper in the snow pack a layer of facets/surface hoar formed during the early December cold/dry spell can be found in the top 100cm in the Ashman . The mid and lower snowpack is still structurally weak and faceted. Depth hoar and early season crust exist near the ground.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Recent snow combined with sustained strong winds are loading lee features. Watch for wind slabs.
Stay well to the windward side of corniced ridges.>Avoid freshly wind loaded features.>Avoid exposure to terrain traps where the consequences of a small avalanche could be serious.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 4

Persistent Slabs

A layer of surface hoar is lurking in the top meter of the snow pack. Continued settlement of the overlying snow may increase the likelihood of triggering an avalanche on this layer.
Avoid convexities or areas with a thin or variable snowpack.>Whumpfing, shooting cracks and recent avalanches are all strong inicators of unstable snowpack.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 5