Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 10th, 2023 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Deep Persistent Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada CJ, Avalanche Canada

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While deeper snowpack zones seem to be a bit better, we are still wary of large triggers like cornices, or triggering the deeper persistent layers from shallow or rocky areas. Moderate terrain choices with limited overhead hazard continue to be the best way to manage the uncertainty in the snowpack.

Polar aspects should hold better skiing than sun exposed features at treeline and below.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Not much avalanche activity has been observed in this area during the past week, however thinner snowpack forecast areas to the East have seen significant avalanches on the different persistent layers almost every day.

Snowpack Summary

A few cm's of new snow overnight. Steep solar slopes at treeline and below are seeing the effects of the sun, with a significant sun crust in places. The various Jan PWL interfaces of sun crusts, facets, and surface hoar are now down 60-110 cm. The weaker Nov. 16 basal facet layer is down 120-170 cm and occasionally produces moderate to hard sudden collapse results in tests.

Weather Summary

A few cm's of new snow is expected Friday night with scattered flurries and a few sunny breaks on Saturday. Light W-SW winds with cool alpine temperatures of between -15 to -20°C are forecast.

For a more detailed weather forecast, click here.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avalanche hazard may have improved, but be mindful that deep instabilities are still present.
  • Uncertainty is best managed through conservative terrain choices at this time.

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

Weaker facets and depth hoar are still present at the bottom of the snowpack and inspire little confidence. Be especially cautious in thin snowpack or rocky areas, which are likely areas for triggering. Cornices may also trigger this layer, especially with new wind loading or the heat of the sun in the afternoon.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Three persistent weak layers formed in January are down 60-110 cm. The biggest concern is triggering these buried suncrusts on steep solar slopes, but weaker facets and isolated surface hoar can be found on the same interface on shaded aspects.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Valid until: Mar 11th, 2023 4:00PM

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