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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 25th, 2015–Dec 26th, 2015
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Coast.

There is great riding to be had but don't let your guard down. Avalanche hazard still exists, especially on ridge loaded and cross loaded terrain at upper elevations.

Confidence

High - The weather pattern is stable

Weather Forecast

The storm that is forecast to hit the North Coast unfortunately won't have much effect further south. Saturday will be mainly dry with light flurries starting overnight through Sunday. No significant precipitation is expected for Monday. Winds will continue to be mainly light and variable through the forecast period. The cold Artic air mass entrenched over much of BC will keep things cool with freezing levels at or close to valley bottom.

Avalanche Summary

There haven't been any reports of recent natural activity but people have been getting surprised by isolated pockets of wind slab. A skier was involved in a size 2 avalanche in the Joffre group on Wednesday that released from a wind loaded pocket at ridgeline.  Another group of skiers were startled by a wind slab on a cross loaded feature at treeline in the Spearhead on Tuesday. Guides in the area are reporting that cornices are getting large and are them with caution.

Snowpack Summary

Between 45 and 75 cm of new snow has fallen over the last week with lots of low density snow still to be found in sheltered areas. In exposed locations variable south-easterly through westerly winds have formed wind slabs in lee features at ridgeline and on cross loaded slopes. Older, but still reactive wind slabs may be hidden under the more recent snow. In the Coquihalla, the storm snow is sitting on a sun-crust on steep solar aspects. At lower elevations, you may be able to find either isolated pockets of surface hoar or a crust with facets that was reported to be buried on December 17th. Reports from the field indicate that this layer is now starting to break down.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

People have been getting surprised by isolated pockets of wind slab at the tree-line and in the alpine.
The recent snow may now be hiding wind slabs that were easily visible before the snow fell. >If you are increasing your exposure to avalanche terrain, do it gradually as you gather information. >If you have the skills carefully dropping chunks of cornice onto a slope can be a low risk way to test start zones before committing to a bigger line. >

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 4