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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 22nd, 2022–Jan 23rd, 2022
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Kananaskis.

Keep an eye on daytime heating and solar input. If these factors are significant, then avalanche danger will rise. Deeper instabilities could produce large avalanches.

Confidence

Moderate -

Weather Forecast

Another nice day is expected for Sunday with mostly sunny skies and a high between -5 and -1. Winds will be strong from the NW and no precipitation is expected. Freezing levels are forecasted to be near 1700m, but steeper solar aspects will feel the punch of the sun.

Avalanche Summary

Minor pin-wheeling on steep solar aspects at lower elevations on Saturday afternoon. No new avalanche activity observed or reported.

Snowpack Summary

Moist snow on some solar aspects (that will be frozen into a crust Sunday morning), but this was limited somewhat by wind and occasional clouds on Saturday. Widespread wind effect and wind slabs in the alpine and open areas at treeline. In sheltered locations up to 15cm of lower density snow overlies previous surfaces, which gives acceptable skiing. The Dec crust layer down 100 to 140cm is faceting and produces moderate to hard shears. Forecasters continue to keep a close eye on this persistent weak layer, despite a long spell of no activity associated with it. If/when it re-awakens, large avalanches are possible.

Terrain and Travel

  • Be careful with wind slabs, especially in steep, unsupported and/or convex terrain features.
  • Be aware that wet activity at low elevations is a classic situation for step-down failures in deeply buried persistent weak layers.
  • Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to the presence of a persistent slab.
  • Watch for areas of hard wind slab on alpine features.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

The buried wind slab will be hard to trigger but if you are able to get it to go from a thin area, it could produce a large avalanche. Thin wind slabs are also being found along ridgelines. At treeline these slabs may step down to the December crust. 

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Persistent Slabs

If the freezing level elevation and/or solar input is significant we may see this layer wake up. Pay close attention to temperatures throughout the day. This problem primarily exists below 2200m. Dig and evaluate.  

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 3