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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 24th, 2012–Dec 25th, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Northwest Inland.

Confidence

Fair - Due to limited field observations

Weather Forecast

Tuesday: Strong SE winds. Alpine temp -11. No precipitation.Wednesday: Light SE winds. Alpine temp -9. No precipitation.Thursday: Light SW winds. Alpine temp -8. Light snow.

Avalanche Summary

A size 2 glide slab released on an east aspect during the weekend. No other recent avalanches have been reported.

Snowpack Summary

Wind slabs and cornices have developed on a fairly widespread basis and may be found in locations lee to NE, E and SE winds. Spotty surface hoar was buried in the upper snowpack in sheltered treeline areas, although little is known about its reactivity. Professionals are still mindful of a facet/crust layer near the base of the snowpack. Although triggering it has become unlikely, it may be possible with a very heavy load (e.g. cornice fall) or from a thin-spot trigger point. Continuing cold temperatures will do little to increase the strength of the snowpack.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.