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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 22nd, 2019–Nov 23rd, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Winter is on its way! Forecast snow amounts are uncertain. Expect the hazard to increase with the incoming wind and snow.

Weather Forecast

Winter is on its way.

Saturday: Periods of snow. Up to 20cm of new snow with light to moderate west winds. Alpine temps around -5 and freezing levels in the valleys.

Sunday: Flurries with up to 10cm with moderate to strong westerly winds and cooler temps from -5 to -10

For more details: Avalanche Canada's, Mountain Weather Forecast.

Snowpack Summary

Variable surfaces including temp/rain crust, hard wind press and loose snow sit above the Nov. rain crust which goes as high as 2200m. Total snow pack height in alpine is around 45-85 cm. A variety of surfaces in the alpine from wind pressed/scoured features to wind slabs in lee features in the alpine. Surface hoar currently waiting to be buried.

Avalanche Summary

Previous strong winds transported old snow through the high alpine peaks and ridge tops. Hazard can be expected to increase in isolated areas where wind effect and loading is visible. No natural activity observed or reported in the forecast region. The storm pushing in on Saturday night will most likely elevate the avalanche activity.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Saturday

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.