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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 14th, 2013–Dec 15th, 2013
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Coast.

Confidence

Fair - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Sunday

Weather Forecast

Tonight and Sunday: Moderate precipitation and moderate SW winds will continue through the day before tapering off Sunday night. Total storm accumulations will range between 5 and 15 cm. Freezing levels are forecast to remain around 1700m.Monday: Expect a pretty benign weather day ahead of the next low pressure system with overcast skies, and light southwest winds.Tuesday: The next front of the system will push warm air over the colder air inland. A slight temperature inversion will develop with the possibility for above freezing temperatures as high as 2000m. Light precipitation and strong SW winds will are associated with the arrival of the front.

Avalanche Summary

No recent avalanche have been reported

Snowpack Summary

Snowpack depths vary greatly across the region with 160cm reported at treeline in the Northern Cascades but only 50 cm along the Duffy. In general the snowpack across the regions is significantly thinner than average for this time of year. Terrain below treeline is still mostly below threshold for avalanche activity.Between 15 and 20 cm of new snow is settling into a soft slab Southerly winds have formed pockets of windslab in alpine lee features. Surface hoar from early in December can be found buried is sheltered locations above 1900m. On slopes that were scoured by early December's strong N winds the late November crust may have been exposed on the surface before the recent snowfall however in most locations it underlies up to 40 cm of week sugary snow.A few crusts can be found near the ground at higher elevations especially in rocky alpine areas with a thin snowpack.Early season riding hazards such as rocks, stumps and logs are lurking below the surface at treeline elevations. In glaciated terrain the forecast snow might just be enough to hide open crevasses.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

SW winds will form soft slabs in the alpine and at treeline. The avalanche hazard will be lower in areas that receive less snow and will increase throughout the day as the wind strengthens and temperature increases.
Avoid freshly wind loaded features.>Avoid exposure to terrain traps where the consequences of a small avalanche could be serious.>The snowpack on glaciers is shallow. Be cautious of hidden crevasses and un-supportive snow bridges.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

Weakness at the bottom of the snow pack may be a problem in isolated rocky areas with a thin snowpack at higher elevations such as glacial moraines.
Carefully evaluate and use caution around thin snowpack areas.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely

Expected Size: 1 - 3