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Avalanche Forecast

Dec 24th, 2011–Dec 25th, 2011
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: South Coast.

Confidence

Fair - Intensity of incoming weather is uncertainfor the entire period

Weather Forecast

Sunday: 7cm of new snow - moderate southwest winds - alpine temperatures of -8.0Monday: 8cm of new snow - moderate southwest winds - alpine temperatures of -9.0Tuesday: 20cm of new snow - moderate southwesterly winds - alpine temperatures of -7.0

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche activity reported in the last 24 hours. Fresh wind slabs and cornices are sensitive to human-triggers and will continue to be with forecast weather.

Snowpack Summary

Dribs and drabs of new snow with moderate winds have been the norm over the last week. Wind-exposed slopes are predominately scoured and pressed, with pockets of wind slab from 10 to 35cm deep on North to East aspects at treeline and in the alpine. This recent snow overlies a weak rain crust that formed last weekend. This crust extends to treeline elevations and overlies buried surface hoar and/or facets 10cm below. Generally speaking, confidence in this interface is growing, especially since it has'nt seen a significant load at the elevations where it exists. In the alpine where the crust does not exist, a stiffer wind slab may over-ride surface facets that formed during the early December dry spell. A compression test on thursday showed easy, sudden results 35cm below the surface at 2250m on a North aspect.The mid and lower snowpack are generally well-settled and strong. Snowpack depths at treeline sit at about 130 throughout the region.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind slabs have developed on lee and cross-loaded terrain in the alpine and at treeline. They can be quite reactive, especially where they over-ride last weekends rain crust or weak facets (sugar snow) from the early December dry spell.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3