Avalanche Forecast

It looks HOT for the foreseeable future with no overnight temperature recovery expected.  MONDAY:  Freezing level holding at 3500m, very little wind except at ridgetop where strong southwest wind is expected, no precipitation, clear skies.  TUESDAY: Freezing level holding at 3500m, light variable wind, no precipitation, few clouds.  WEDNESDAY:  Freezing level holding at 3500m, light variable wind, no precipitation, mostly clear skies.

No new avalanches reported, but we have very few eyes and ears still in the mountains reporting. Most commercial operations in the region have finished their season and data is sparse.

Cornices are large, fragile, and could trigger deep slab avalanches that run to valley bottoms. Monitoring the overnight freeze of the snow surface is very important.. If the snow surface does not freeze overnight or if the crust is only a few cm thick, the effect of daytime heating and solar radiation will weaken the snowpack much quicker. There is an old crust layer down approximately 50cm in the Duffey area and north of Pemberton. Though mostly dormant, it produced a couple large avalanches during the last major warming event.  The forecast hottest weather of the year to date could again test it, especially in isolated locations such as steep, rocky faces. Glide cracks are widespread, active, and best avoided. Low elevation and thin snowpack areas have become isothermal, meaning the snowpack is 0 degrees Celsius throughout. An isothermal snowpack is more prone to full depth wet slab avalanches during the heat of the day, especially on steep, smooth slopes.