Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 14th, 2023 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is below threshold. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada mconlan, Avalanche Canada

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Wind slabs and persistent slabs may linger in alpine terrain.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Riders observed evidence of old loose dry and wind slab avalanches over the weekend, predominantly starting in alpine terrain and on southerly slopes.

The latest persistent slab avalanche report was from a week ago where riders remotely triggered the layer from a ridgetop, but snowpack test results indicate this layer could still be triggered and form large avalanches.

Snowpack Summary

Wind affected snow and wind slabs are found in exposed terrain, whereas soft snow may be found in wind-sheltered features, particularly at treeline elevations. The wind has predominantly been from northerly aspects but is shifting to the south, meaning wind slabs may be found on all aspects.

There is a buried layer of surface hoar about 60 cm deep in Powder Valley, Tutshi, and Paddy Peak areas and up to 140 cm around White Pass. This layer is most prominent on northerly slopes sheltered from the wind. On other aspects, this layer is a hard melt-freeze crust with weak facets around it. This layer is has been most problematic in alpine terrain.

The middle of the snowpack is consolidated and strong. Weak faceted grains are found near the base of the snowpack, which are most pronounced in thin snowpack areas.

Weather Summary

Tuesday Night

Partly cloudy with no precipitation, 10 to 20 km/h southeast wind, treeline temperature -15 °C.

Wednesday

Mostly cloudy with light snowfall, accumulation 1 to 3 cm, 20 to 40 km/h south wind, treeline temperature -11 °C.

Thursday

Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 10 to 20 cm, 60 km/h south wind, treeline temperature -4 °C, freezing level rising to 1000 m.

Friday

Cloudy with snowfall then clearing, accumulation 5 to 10 cm, 40 km/h south wind, treeline temperature -4 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Carefully evaluate steep lines for wind slabs.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
  • Avoid steep, rocky, and wind effected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.
  • Seek out sheltered terrain where new snow hasn't been wind-affected.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

The wind was from the north and is shifting to the south, meaning wind slabs may linger on all aspects. Assess for hard, hollow sounding snow in steep terrain before committing.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

A weak layer of surface hoar and/or faceted grains around a hard crust could be triggered by riders. The layer is buried around 60 cm in the eastern portions of the region and up to 140 cm around White Pass. This layer has recently produced widely propagating avalanches in alpine terrain and it is capable of being remotely triggered from a distance. The most likely area for riders to trigger it is in wind-sheltered, north-facing terrain, and in rocky terrain where the snowpack is thin.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3

Valid until: Mar 15th, 2023 4:00PM