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Avalanche Forecast

Feb 21st, 2022–Feb 24th, 2022
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Waterton Lakes.

East wind is coming. Watch out for atypical wind loading especially over previously thin areas.

Cold temps will persist for a couple more days, bring your layers and hot drinks and have a good trip plan.

Weather Forecast

Tues: Cold temps continue with an alpine high of -25. Light fluries expected and rigetop winds from S-M out of the east.

Wed: Temps rising in the afternoon to -13 in the alpine under clear skies. Winds L-M from the north and east

Thurs: Temps continuing to rise with an alpine high of -10. Partially cloudy with S-M winds from the north.

Snowpack Summary

25-40cm of new storm snow has fallen with cooling temps and light wind. This overlies pressed surfaces and hard windslabs from previous extreme SW winds. A melt freeze crust up to 2000m and higher on solar aspects is found 20-50 cm down, no failures yet in test profiles on this layer. Well settled midpack. Dec 4 crust, buried 150-200 cm.

Avalanche Summary

Several small loose dry natural avalanches observed from steep rocky terrain. Poor visibility on field days in the last two days. If you go out on an adventure be sure to share your experience and snowpack information on the Mountain Information Network, we really appreciate any observations.

Confidence

Wind effect is extremely variable

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Atypical winds forecast for the coming days will reverse load feature.

  • Avoid travelling in areas that have been reverse loaded by winds.

Aspects: South East, South, South West, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Loose Dry

This problem wont persist in anything but very steep sheltered terrain as the winds pick up through the week.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 1.5