Avalanche Forecast

Tuesday Night: Snow, 10-20 cm, strong southwest wind, alpine high -4, freezing level 1400 m.

Wednesday: Flurries, 5-10 cm, moderate to strong southwest wind, alpine high -5, freezing level 1300 m.

Thursday: Cloudy with sunny breaks, light to moderate northwest wind, alpine high -8, freezing level 600 m.

Friday: Isolated flurries, moderate to strong southwest wind, alpine high -7, freezing level 600 m.

Expect to see an increase in storm and wind slab avalanche activity on Tuesday in the after math of new snow accumulating with strong southwest winds.

New snow accumulating Monday through Tuesday night has fallen on wind affected surfaces at upper elevations, surface hoar in wind sheltered areas and a thin crust on solar aspects. Winds are likely redistributing new snow into wind slabs and growing cornices.

A couple of persistent weak layers exist in the upper to mid snowpack:

• The upper layer, found 50-80 cm down, is a spotty layer of surface hoar at treeline and below. 
• The lower layer, found 90-150 cm down, is widespread and can present as surface hoar and/or a crust.

Avalanche activity on these layers has dwindled since last week and snowpack tests results have generally indicated the weak layers are gaining strength. Incoming snowfall early this week will add additional load to these layers and may shed some light on whether they will remain a concern.

• Watch for signs of slab formation throughout the day.
• Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
• Wind slabs are most reactive during their formation.
• Dial back your terrain choices if you are seeing more than 20 cm of new snow.
• Expect slab conditions to change drastically as you move into wind exposed terrain.