Avalanche forecast

Stevens Pass

Jan 20 – 21, 2020Northwest Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Wed
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

The avalanche danger will increase throughout the day. By Tuesday afternoon, you may be able to trigger small avalanches in the new snow at upper elevations. Check how well the new snow is bonded to old surfaces, and use caution on slopes steeper than 35 degrees if you find six inches or more of recent snow that slides easily.

Avalanche problems

  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1

    These avalanches will grow throughout the day. New snow accumulations may be deep enough to pose a hazard at upper elevations by afternoon. New snow will fall on a variety of old snow surfaces, including a slick crust formed since the weekend. Dig just below the surface to check if the crust is frozen of still soft. Use small test slopes to check if the snow slides easily on the old surface. Watch for recent avalanches and cracks shooting through the snow. If you see these red flag warning signs, use caution on open start zones and slopes steeper than 35 degrees. Avoid terrain traps where a small avalanche could have serious consequences.

    You may still be able to find interfaces from storms starting January 10th, now as deep as 5 feet below the snow surface. Avalanches on these layers are unlikely. However, uncertainty exists about the snowpack on slopes at the highest elevations and in remote parts of the zone. 

Discussion

While new snow accumulation is forecasted to be light on Tuesday, there is some uncertainty. Snow will add up throughout the day, but should only accumulate around 3 inches by dark. You may find deeper snow totals and drifts at higher elevations. Expect moderate snowfall with up to another 8-12" possible on Tuesday night. Expect an increase in avalanche danger after dark on Tuesday. You can see recent observations from Stevens Pass here and here.

Snowpack Discussion

New Regional Synopsis coming soon. We update the Regional Synopsis every Thursday at 6 pm.

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