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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 11th, 2024–Mar 12th, 2024

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.

Regions

North Columbia, South Columbia, Esplanade, Jordan, North Selkirk, West Purcell, Badshot-Battle, Central Selkirk, Goat, Gold, Retallack, Whatshan.

Choose conservative, low consequence terrain.

Rider and remote triggering of large avalanches are an ongoing concern.

If triggered, avalanches could run full path.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

We received a report of a skier triggered size 3 persistent slab avalanche. This avalanche was triggered on a southeast aspect at 2300 m .

A natural cornice fall triggered a size 3.5 persistent slab avalanche on a northwest aspect at 2700 m on Sunday.

Both of the above mentioned avalanches ran on the early February crust/facet layer. This is part of a pattern of ongoing natural, rider and remotely triggered avalanches on this layer.

Snowpack Summary

Strong winds have formed wind slab on northerly aspects. The snow surface will likely become moist at lower elevations.

Two layers of surface hoar and sun crust can be found in the top meter of the snowpack. One from late February and the other from early March.

A thick and hard widespread crust that formed in early February is buried about 80 to 150 cm deep. This crust has a layer of facets above it in many areas.

The snowpack below this crust is generally not concerning except in shallow alpine terrain.

Weather Summary

Monday Night

Mostly cloudy with 5 to 10 cm of new snow. 20 to 40 km/h south alpine wind. Treeline temperature -4°C.

Tuesday

Mostly cloudy with 5 to 10 cm of  new snow. 15 to 30 km/h southwest alpine wind. Freezing level rising to 1600 m.

Wednesday

Clearing throughout the day with trace amounts of new snow. 10 to 20 km/h west alpine wind. Freezing level rising to 1500 m.

Thursday

Sunny. 15 to 30 km/h west alpine wind. Freezing level rising to 2200 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Conservative terrain selection is critical, choose only well supported, low consequence lines.
  • Remote triggering is a concern, watch out for adjacent and overhead slopes.
  • Be aware of the potential for surprisingly large avalanches due to deeply buried weak layers.
  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeply buried weak layers resulting in very large avalanches.
  • Back off slopes as the surface becomes moist or wet with rising temperatures.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.