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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 13th, 2017–Jan 14th, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

North Columbia.

Wind effect is still driving the avalanche danger in many areas. The safest, and best, riding may be in lower elevation terrain sheltered from the wind.

Confidence

High - Due to the number and quality of field observations

Weather Forecast

SATURDAY: Mix of sun and cloud, light southwest winds, alpine temperatures around -15 C.SUNDAY: Cloudy with isolated flurries, 20-40 km/h west winds, alpine temperatures around -10 C. MONDAY: Flurries with 5-10 cm of new snow, 40-50 km southwest winds, alpine temperatures warming to -3 C.

Avalanche Summary

Wind slabs have been reactive to human and natural triggers over the past week. On Thursday, numerous skier-triggered wind slabs in the size 1-2 range were triggered on a wide range of aspects at treeline. Natural size 1.5-2 wind slabs were also observed in alpine terrain.Wind slabs will likely remain reactive over the weekend. In shallow areas like Clemina Creek, it could be possible to trigger a layer of facets buried around 60 cm below the surface.

Snowpack Summary

Recent new snow has been shifted first by southwesterly winds and then by northerly winds. As a result, wind slabs exist on a variety of aspects at upper elevations. These accumulations have covered old, thicker wind slabs from previous wind events. A layer of faceted "sugar snow" and spotty surface hoar which formed during December's cold snap now lies roughly 1 metre below the surface. This layer is now dormant in many areas, but may still be a concern in shallow snowpack parts of the region, particularly around Clemina Creek. I'd continue to investigate this layer before committing to any large, unsupported features. The lower snowpack seems to be generally strong and well settled.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.