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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 15th, 2026–Feb 16th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Lizard-Flathead, South Rockies, Akamina, Bull, Crowsnest North, Crowsnest South, Elkford East, Elkford West.

Low density snow will be redistributed by moderate winds building fresh wind slabs in lee terrain features.

Shooting cracks are a good indicator of slab formation, test the snow as you go.

Confidence

Moderate

  • We are uncertain about forecast snowfall amounts.

Avalanche Summary

In nearby Waterton, several size 1 to 1.5 dry loose and slab avalanches were reported on Sunday.

If you are getting out in the backcountry, please consider sharing your observations on the Mountain Information Network! You don't have to see an avalanche or dig in the snow to have useful observations - even weather and riding conditions are helpful, especially when you include photos!

Snowpack Summary

15 cm of new snow coupled with strong winds is building wind slabs at upper elevations that are building over a variety of surfaces;

  • wind-pressed snow in high elevation lees

  • crust on exposed windward features, south aspects and low elevations

  • soft, faceted snow, possibly topped with small surface hoar crystals in sheltered areas.

The remainder of the snowpack is well consolidated, containing a number of crusts which are not of concern at this time.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night
Partly cloudy. 2 cm of snow. 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C.

Monday
Mostly cloudy. 2 to 4 cm of snow. 40 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C.

Tuesday
Mostly cloudy. 10 to 15 cm of snow. 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C.

Wednesday
Mix of sun and clouds. 1 cm of snow. 20 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -17 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
  • Expect slab conditions to change drastically as you move into wind-exposed terrain.
  • Be alert to conditions that change with elevation, aspect, and exposure to wind.
  • Be careful with wind-loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and rollovers.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.