Avalanche forecast

Jasper

Mar 11 – 12, 2022
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Archived · expired 5 years ago

Avalanche danger

Sat
Sun
Alpine
1 · Low
Treeline
1 · Low
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Wind effect tree line and above - sheltered areas still hold great riding conditions. Some uncertainty remains regarding slab sensitivity on solar crust on steep southerly aspects - stay vigilant. Also give a wide berth to mature cornices.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    1–2

    Reverse loading from northerly winds this week. Wind slabs more likely non typical lees and near ridge crest. Mid day solar is packing a punch - ice climbers plan to be out of confined terrain exposed to overhead pockets during peak solar.

Weather Forecast

Friday: Isolated flurries. Trace precipitation. Alpine high -7 C. Wind SW 20-30 km/h. Freezing level (FL) valley bottom.

Saturday: Scattered flurries. Precipitation 5cm. Alpine Low -11 C; High -7 C. Wind W 20 gust to 50 km/h. FL valley bottom.

Sunday: Sunny periods. Nil precipitation. Alpine Low -11 C; High -6 C. Wind W light to 35 km/h. FL 1400m.

Snowpack Summary

Sheltered areas hold up to 30cm low density snow over top a well settled mid pack. Moderate NW winds adding to cornice growth in the alpine; wind effect tree line and above. A crust down 25-40cm is decomposing and found below 2300m on S aspects. A widespread weak facet layer still lurks at the bottom of the snowpack all areas.

Avalanche Summary

A natural size 2 wind slab was reported on the West aspect of Mt.Wilson. Estimated date March 6-7.

A natural size 2 cornice failure was reported on Mt. Wilcox. Estimated date March 7-8.

Confidence

Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain

Regions covered