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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 2nd, 2024–Jan 3rd, 2024

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Cariboos, Clearwater, McBride, Quesnel, Sugarbowl.

Though unlikely, triggering avalanches on buried surface hoar could have severe consequences.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been reported. There are very few field observations coming from this forecast area. Remember that a lack of avalanche reports does not necessarily mean a lack of avalanche activity.

If you go out in the backcountry, please consider sharing your observations on the Mountain Information Network (MIN).

Snowpack Summary

A surface crust may exist at treeline and below, with recent warm temperatures. The upper snowpack is typically well settled, with no current layers of concern.

The mid-pack contains various noteworthy layers; including two surface hoar layers, one down roughly 20 to 40 cm and another down roughly 50 to 90 cm. Between the two surface hoar layers a crust may exist, primarily at lower elevations.

The base of the snowpack is generally facetted.

The current snowpack has considerable variation in structure and depths across the region.

Weather Summary

Tuesday night

Mostly cloudy with no precipitation, south alpine winds 10 to 30 km/h, treeline temperature -5 °C.

Wednesday

Mostly cloudy with trace snow amounts, southwest alpine winds 10 to 30 km/h, treeline temperature -5 °C.

Thursday

Mostly cloudy with trace snow amounts, southwest alpine winds 30 to 60 km/h, treeline temperature -5 °C.

Friday

Mostly cloudy with trace snow amounts, southwest alpine winds 20 to 50 km/h, treeline temperature -6 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Uncertainty is best managed through conservative terrain choices at this time.
  • Avoid steep, rocky, and wind effected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.