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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 2nd, 2018–Mar 3rd, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

New snow is improving ski quality. Remember that the windslabs will become harder to detect as they get buried by the new snow.

Confidence

Moderate - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Weather Forecast

More flurries tonight and tomorrow will bring another 10cm by tomorrow afternoon. Winds will remain light in the alpine, and basically calm at treeline and below. Temps will be -17 consistently for the next day or two.

Avalanche Summary

Several loose dry avalanches were noted in the alpine today. They all initiated in cliff terrain and only involved the storm snow. Up to sz2. Some ran further than expected given the modest 10cm snowfall.

Snowpack Summary

We received 10-15cm of low density snow last night. The southern areas received the bulk of it, while the northern areas escaped the full up-slope punch. There was some wind associated with the storm, but only enough to create very soft windslabs. These slabs appear to be on all aspects above 2300m. While this snow certainly helps the ski quality, in most alpine and treeline areas, the windslabs are still felt while traveling. The windslabs are our main concern at the moment. Expect to find breakable slabs, hard slab and the occasional area of soft snow. Ski quality is better below treeline where the windslabs have facetted (weakened) out.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.