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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 23rd, 2019–Feb 24th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Fresh windslabs have formed on a variety of aspects on the 93N, while surface snow remains unaffected by wind in the Marmot / Whistler / Tonquin Creek region.

Weather Forecast

Sunday will be sun with clouds, no precipitation, Treeline Low -21, High -16, and light ridge winds. Monday will be similar, but with alpine temperatures dropping and winds rising toward moderate through the afternoon.  Little change for Tuesday, except the coldest morning of the lot! Mountain weather forecast available at Avalanche Canada.

Snowpack Summary

Fresh windslabs have formed in exposed terrain, lee to SW then N winds.  Remnants of a surface hoar layer (Jan 18) down 40cm could be reactive in isolated areas treeline and below. A strong midpack exists in thick snowpack areas, but is weaker in thinner snow-pack zones over weak basal depth hoar, consistently giving hard, sudden results in  tests.

Avalanche Summary

No field patrol Saturday, nothing new reported. Thursdays field team (Nigel Pass area, Columbia Icefields Region) observed two avalanches triggered by small cornice failures;  one triggered a size 1.5 deep persistent slab  (steep, unsupported N aspect, at 2700m), the other triggered only a loose dry avalanche in a large planar slope.

Confidence

Wind effect is extremely variable

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.