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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 3rd, 2019–Feb 4th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Jasper.

Extreme cold conditions and road closures make decisions easy for back country activities. Highway 93N remains closed (estimated opening February 4th)

Weather Forecast

The deep freeze continues, but with clear skies!Monday: Sunny with cloudy periods with no  precipitation and a  high of -19 C with  light ridge winds.Tuesday: Sunny with cloudy periods with no  precipitation and a low of -22 and High of -14 C with light winds from the North. A detailed mountain weather forecast is available from Avalanche Canada.

Snowpack Summary

50cm new snow in the past 48 hours and recent strong winds. This overlies a variety of surfaces from previous wind effect, sun crust and the Jan 18 surface hoar (most prominent in sheltered locations TL and below). We suspect the recent winds and new snow will be overloading the well settled mid pack and producing large scale avalanches

Avalanche Summary

Limited observations in the forecast region due to highway conditions, poor vis and temperatures too cold to perform helicopter bombing. Forecaster's remote triggered multiple size 1.5 to 2 and had explosive results to size 2 during highway avalanche control yesterday.Help forecast - share observations HERE, on the Mountain Information Network!

Confidence

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.