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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 19th, 2018–Apr 20th, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Avoid all slope with cornices overhead as there is plenty of evidence of them falling recently with significant consequences.

Weather Forecast

Cooler temperatures Friday with freezing levels at 1,900m close to Jasper and 2,300m at the Icefields, where it will be mainly cloudy with isolated flurries. Alp High -2 C low -6C Ridge wind SW 15 km/h gusting to 40 km/h. Limited Solar at the Icefields, but more near Jasper. On Saturday up to 10cm of fresh snow is forecast.

Snowpack Summary

Below 1,900m the snowpack is isothermal. Sun or temperature crusts extend to treeline and continued into the alpine on southerly slopes. Persistent slabs can be found on most aspects at treeline and above. These have been most reactive recently to large triggers like cornices. Soft windslabs have been developing and are up to 40cm deep.

Avalanche Summary

In the past 36hrs persistent slab avalanches up to size 3.5 have occurred from alpine terrain. Most are in the 2 to 2.5 range and are are being triggered by cornice failures or small windslab avalanches stepping down to these deeper layers. With freezing levels reaching treeline expect some loose avalanches on South to West facing slopes.

Confidence

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.