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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 10th, 2019–Feb 11th, 2019
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Coast.

Strong outflow winds have produced stiff wind slabs. Lingering reactive wind slabs are most likely in wind-loaded areas: below ridgelines, under cornices, and around steep, unsupported features.

Confidence

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Tuesday

Weather Forecast

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear cloudy periods isolated flurries overnight, trace accumulation. Treeline temperatures near -10C. Ridgetop winds light from the northeast.MONDAY: Mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries, up to 5 cm accumulation overnight. Treeline temperatures near -5C. Ridgetop winds light from the northeast.TUESDAY: Cloudy with scattered flurries, 5-10 cm accumulation. Treeline temperatures near -7C. Ridgetop winds light to moderate from the northeast.WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Treeline temperatures near -5C. Ridgetop winds light to moderate from the northeast.

Avalanche Summary

Small size 1 wind slabs have been reactive to skier traffic, no recent natural avalanches have been reported.Last Monday, a MIN from Mt. Anif showed substantial wind loading and a reactive wind slab problem at treeline and alpine elevations (see report here).

Snowpack Summary

Heavy wind transport has produced wind press, sastrugi, and scoured most high north-northeasterly aspects. Widespread wind slabs have developed in the alpine and treeline with deeper deposits lower in start zones. Pockets of soft snow may still be found in sheltered areas and more likely on south and west aspects. This wind affected snow sits above an crust, old wind-pressed snow surfaces, or surface hoar in the most sheltered areas. The mid-pack is well-settled and strong.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Shifting winds and strong outflows have formed stiff pockets of wind slab in wind-loaded terrain. The most reactive wind slabs will be found in steep, unsupported terrain and immediate lee features.
Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.Watch for whumpfing, hollow sounds, or shooting cracks.

Aspects: East, South East, South, South West, West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2