Avalanche Forecast

Low - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

The weather models are having a pretty tough time getting a handle on the current weather pattern and even the professional meteorologists are pulling out their hair. The freezing levels are thought to be fairly accurate, but the wind and precipitation values should be taken as a suggestion at best.FRIDAY NIGHT: Strong to extreme southwest wind, freezing level around 1000 m, 5 to 15 mm of precipitation expected which could translate to 5 to as much as 20 cm of snow in favored locations.SATURDAY: Broken cloud cover, freezing level rising to 1500 m, moderate to strong south/southeast wind, trace to 10 cm of snow. 2 to 20 mm of precipitation Saturday night which could produce significant snowfall.SUNDAY: Overcast, freezing level around 1200 m, strong south/southwest wind, 2 to 10 cm of snow possible.MONDAY: Overcast, freezing level holding around 1200 m, moderate to strong south/southwest wind, 0 to 5 cm of snow.

There have been no recent avalanche observations in the region. If you're out this weekend we'd love it if you would submit what you're seeing to the Mountain Information Network.

Storm snow falling through the weekend is unlikely to bond well to the mix of old surfaces that include both crust and surface hoar. This will likely only be a problem at and above treeline. Below treeline the snowpack is isothermal throughout much of the forecast region.Previously, sun exposed slopes in the alpine and all aspects at treeline and below were becoming moist to wet during the heat of the day. Dry snow may remain on north-facing slopes in the alpine. In these locations, 50-100 cm of snow sits on a layer of facets (sugary snow) that was buried around March 10th.