Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 16th, 2021 4:00PM

The alpine rating is low, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Loose Wet and Cornices.

Avalanche Canada swerner, Avalanche Canada

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Spring-like diurnal conditions exist and the rating reflects the highest hazard level anticipated during the day. Pay attention to steep south facing slopes as they heat up in the afternoon and destabilize. Give looming cornices a wide berth from above and below. 

Summary

Confidence

High - We have a good understanding of the snowpack structure and confidence in the weather forecast

Weather Forecast

A ridge of high pressure will remain anchored over the Interior until Thursday bringing warmer temperatures and sunny skies. 

The typical spring-like diurnal weather pattern will hold afternoon alpine temperatures near -2 and freezing levels around 1500-2000 m. Overnight periods will see the freezing levels drop back to the valley bottom.

An approaching Pacific frontal system will move onto the coast Wednesday bringing unsettled weather and new snow to the Interior regions by Friday and through the weekend. 

Avalanche Summary

On Monday, numerous natural loose wet avalanches were reported from southerly aspects above 1900 m. Natural cornice fall continues in the region with no slab pulling from the slopes below. 

Isolated loose wet avalanches and cornice failures may continue in the afternoon with warming. Little change in this pattern is expected until Friday.

Snowpack Summary

Sunny skies and warm temperatures formed sun crusts on solar aspects and at all elevations and up to 2000 m on polar aspects. Dry snow still exists on north aspects at upper elevations. Large cornices loom over alpine ridgetops.

Persistent weak layers of surface hoar, crusts, and/or facets 80-120 cm down have recently been unreactive and no recent avalanches have been reported on these layers. 

Terrain and Travel

  • Cornices become weak with daytime heating or solar exposure.
  • Use caution above cliffs and terrain traps where even small avalanches may have severe consequences.
  • Watch for wind-loaded pockets especially around ridgecrest and in extreme terrain.
  • Rocks will heat up with daytime warming and may become trigger points for loose wet avalanches

Problems

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

Loose wet avalanches may occur during the heat of the day and primarily on solar aspects. Watch for changing snow surfaces like moist or wet snow, snowballing or natural avalanche activity. Steep slopes and around rocks will be most susceptible to natural avalanche activity. 

Aspects: South East, South, South West.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices

Warm temperatures and sunny skies can increase the likelihood of cornice failures. A cornice fall can be hazardous on its own. Minimize exposure to slopes that have cornices overhead, especially during the heat of the day. 

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3

Valid until: Mar 17th, 2021 4:00PM