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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 15th, 2020–Feb 16th, 2020
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Glacier.

Watch for changing conditions in the new snow, wind and temperature changes will promote slab formation

Weather Forecast

5-10cm throughout the day today with precipitation intensity increasing this afternoon. Winds light W and a high of -8 at treeline. Snow tapering off overnight as a weak high sets up tomorrow and Monday with winds continuing light W, temperatures falling and flurries.

Snowpack Summary

45cm of storm snow in 48hrs with light to mod S-W winds. Variable layers of resistance and sun crusts isolated to steep SW aspects reported within the storm snow over a strong snowpack of mostly rounds.

Avalanche Summary

Numerous natural avalanches to size 2.5 from all aspects yesterday with dust from them running far.

Confidence

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

45cm of storm snow in the last 48hrs at treeline with mod S-W winds and up to 10cm forecast today. Expect soft storm slab with more potential for human triggering as you move into wind effected terrain.

  • Watch for signs of instability such as whumphing and cracking.
  • The new snow will require several days to settle and stabilize.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3