Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain

A mix of sun and cloud is expected for Wednesday with afternoon freezing levels around 900m and light alpine winds from the northwest. Sunny conditions are expected for Thursday with afternoon freezing levels around 1100m and light outflow winds in the alpine. A mix of sun and cloud is forecast for Friday with freezing levels climbing to around 1500m and moderate outflow winds in the alpine.

On Monday, a natural cornice release triggered a size 1.5 wind slab on a northwest aspect at 1750m which was 25cm thick. Skiers were triggering size 1 soft slabs on steep leeward slopes. In the far north of the region, a natural cornice release triggered a size 2.5 slab which released on the early March surface hoar layer.

In sheltered areas at higher elevations, 20-30cm of low density snow can be found. Recent southerly winds have redistributed the surface snow in exposed terrain formed wind slabs and cornices in leeward terrain. On Monday, moist snow was reported up to 1650m elevation on southern aspects and up to 1200m on northern aspects. A layer of surface hoar from early March can be found down 60-80cm but only seems to be a problem for the northern half of the region. Professional operators are still tracking two deep weak layers from early-January and early-February which can be found down about 1m or more. These layers have been dormant for a couple weeks but could wake up with heavy storm loading, substantial warming, or a heavy trigger like a cornice fall. In the far north of the region, there is an isolated weakness at the base of the snowpack that has been responsible for some very large and destructive avalanches.