Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Feb 23rd, 2023 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Storm Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeCarefully assess for cohesive storm and wind slabs. Small surface avalanches remain likely to step down to deeper weak layers creating potentially large, destructive avalanches.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
A natural avalanche cycle occurred on Tuesday, toward the end of the stormy weather. The majority of the reported avalanches were storm slab and wind slab releases on various aspects and elevations.
Deep persistent slab avalanches continue to be periodically reported throughout the region. Including a skier-triggered, fatal avalanche last Thursday.
We are not currently expecting much natural avalanche activity. However, human-triggered slab avalanches will remain possible while the recent storm snow settles and bonds to underlying surfaces.
Snowpack Summary
Up to 50 cm of recent snow is being redistributed by northerly winds in exposed alpine terrain. While surface snow remains relatively unconsolidated in areas not exposed to recent winds. A layer of surface hoar is now buried by 30 to 50 cm in sheltered terrain and a thin sun crust on steep south-facing terrain.
In general, the mid snowpack is well consolidated and bonding.
The lower snowpack contains a number of buried weak layers with variable distribution, as well as a widespread layer of large, weak basal facets and depth hoar in places. These basal weaknesses have been responsible for a number of recent very large, destructive avalanches.
Weather Summary
Thursday night
Mostly clear / Light to moderate northeast ridgetop winds / Treeline temperatures -20 to -25 C.
Friday
Sunny / Light, northeast ridgetop wind, shifting to the southwest by end of the day / Treeline temperatures -15 to -25 C.
Saturday
A mix of sun and cloud / Moderate to strong southwest ridgetop winds / Treeline temperatures -15 to -20 C.
Sunday
Light snow, 2 to 5 cm / Moderate to strong southwest ridgetop winds / Treeline temperatures -10 to -15 C.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
- Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
- Avoid rock outcroppings, convexities, and anywhere the snowpack is thin and/or variable.
Problems
Storm Slabs
Recent northerly winds have created cohesive surface slabs in exposed terrain at upper elevations. While the recent snow has buried a layer of surface hoar in wind sheltered terrain.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Deep Persistent Slabs
A very weak basal snowpack persist. Very large human triggered avalanches are possible in the alpine; especially in shallow, rocky, or thin to thick snowpack areas.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Feb 24th, 2023 4:00PM