Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Nov 27th, 2014 7:39AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is below threshold. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada Peter, Avalanche Canada

Invading Arctic air will result in cold and dry conditions. Expect very strong outflow winds in coastal inlets and valleys.

Summary

Confidence

Poor - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

Friday: Mainly sunny but cold. The freezing level is at valley bottom with temperatures around -18 at treeline. Winds are moderate or strong from the E-NE. Saturday: Mainly sunny. Temperature increase with average treeline temps near -10. Winds are moderate from the north. Sunday: Increasing cloud with flurries developing near the coast. Treeline temperatures are around -7. Winds switch to light or moderate from the SW.

Avalanche Summary

A few small explosive triggered wind slab avalanches were reported north of Stewart on Wednesday. These slides were from northerly aspects near treeline and were up to 40 cm deep. We have had no reports from popular recreational spots in the region. Let us know what you are seeing at forecaster@avalanche.ca.

Snowpack Summary

As we begin our forecasting season, we are working with limited information from the field. Early reports suggest there's enough snow for avalanches at alpine and some treeline elevations. Recent snow has likely been redistributed by gusty and variable winds into slabs on lee slopes at alpine and treeline elevations. This snow may overlie a weak old snow surface (surface hoar, facets and/or a crust) which developed during November's dry spell. Check the bond of the snowpack at this level and take a cautious approach as new snow builds deeper above this layer.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Outflow winds could strip snow from windward slopes and build dense or hard wind slabs in exposed lee terrain, possibly at all elevations. 
Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>Avoid travelling in areas that have been reverse loaded by winds.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 3

Valid until: Nov 28th, 2014 2:00PM

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